Download PDF by Dirk Proske (auth.): Catalogue of Risks: Natural, Technical, Social and Health

By Dirk Proske (auth.)

The time period probability has skilled a dramatic progress in utilization during the last few years. this can be usually a result of starting to be hindrance in regards to the way forward for mankind, but additionally to a better knowledge of the constrained nature of our assets. humans need to know what can get it wrong.

In the start phrases equivalent to hazard, catastrophe, indeterminacy and uncertainty are mentioned intimately during this e-book. in addition failures and dangers are classified into common, technical, health and wellbeing and social dangers, after which significant failures in those different types are indexed. chance parameters are brought to permit the target description of dangers. the reason of hazard parameters (such as mortalities, deadly twist of fate charges, the kinfolk of F-N curves and the idea that of misplaced existence years) results in the standard of lifestyles parameters as measurements of threat. mostly this parameter allows the comparability of the potency of all security measures over the full human society. although, barriers of this idea also are disclosed.

The publication in actual fact exhibits the interdependence of chance measures. security and dangers can't be mentioned simply through taking a look at particular difficulties, seeing that expanding security in person fields may well bring about a reduce of safeguard over the whole society.

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Extra info for Catalogue of Risks: Natural, Technical, Social and Health Risks

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On the other hand, indetermination might endanger living creations since future conditions may exceed the possible performance of the living creature. Therefore, living creatures develop protection to provide safety. Fig. 1-42. Determination and indetermination are required to introduce space, matter, time and energy. 1 Safety Although “safety” is not a term related to negative evaluated indetermination, most terms related to negative evaluated indetermination are used to achieve safety. The goal of safety is the preservation of existence of an individual or a community.

1-30. Two-dimensional classification of systems according to Riedl (2000) The term complexity comes from the Latin word “complectari”, meaning embrace or contain. Some definitions of complexity are: • Complexity is the product of the number of elements multiplied with their connections (Funke 2006, Fehling 2002, Patzak 1982). • Complexity is an excess of possibilities produced by a system (Wasser 1994). • Complexity is the logarithm of the number of possible stages of a system (Cramer 1989). • Complexity is related to dynamics and high rates of changes (Fehling 2002).

The system develops some new reactions and techniques (Laughlin 2007). Actually, this term can be easily related to indetermination (Rayn 2007, Corning 2002, Crutchfield 1994, Cucker & Smale 2006, Scholz 2004). The introduced classes of systems can be ordered according to their diversity of patterns and their momentum. The result is shown in Fig. 1-40. Obviously, the autopoietic systems show the greatest diversity of patterns since they develop new patterns. Moreover, their momentum is high since they are under continuous change.

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